The 2022-23 NFL season kicks off on Sept. 8 when the Buffalo Bills travel across the country to take on the defending Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams.
As with any game, there’ll be a winner, a loser or perhaps even a tie. Predicting how many wins a team will have across an entire season is one of the best ways to bet on the NFL.
Known as win totals betting, you can wager on how many wins you think any team in the NFL will have this season.
You can bet on this before and during the season. Still, as with any futures wager, the odds will change more dramatically on a week-to-week basis when actual wins and losses get recorded.
With this wager, you’ll see the win total line and bet the over or the under. The odds appear like any standard betting odds, with the “+” and “-” indicating what’s more unlikely to occur versus what’s less likely, respectively.
Here, we’ll look at all 32 teams’ win total lines and provide the odds for both the over and the under, as well as give a brief overview of how each division could shake out.All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
AFC East
Since quarterback Tom Brady left the New England Patriots a few seasons ago to join the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Buffalo Bills have owned the AFC East.
Even without Brady, though, the Patriots should still be competitive.
A sleeper pick for this division is the Miami Dolphins. They’re on the upswing after bringing in new head coach Mike McDaniel, wide receiver Tyreek Hill, running back Chase Edmonds, left tackle Terron Armstead and more.
- Buffalo Bills: 11.5; Over (-135); Under (+115)
- New England Patriots: 8.5; Over (-115); Under (-105)
- Miami Dolphins: 8.5; Over (-135); Under (+115)
- New York Jets: 5.5; Over (-145); Under (+125)
NFC East
The Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles project for a similar win total, and rightfully so. Last season, the Cowboys won the division, but there hasn’t been a repeat winner in the NFC East since the Eagles in 2004.
Dallas lost starting wide receiver Amari Cooper this offseason. At the same time, Philadelphia gained a new No. 1 receiver in A.J. Brown and had an excellent draft class, including defensive tackle Jordan Davis, center Cam Jurgens and linebacker Nakobe Dean.
By season’s end, the Cowboys or Eagles will win this division.
- Dallas Cowboys: 9.5; Over (-160); Under (+135)
- Philadelphia Eagles: 9.5; Over (-155); Under (+130)
- Washington Commanders: 8.5; Over (+145); Under (-170)
- New York Giants: 7.5; Over (+125); Under (-145)
AFC West
There’s no division in the NFL quite like the AFC West. In fact, as you’ll see across these win totals, no other division has all four teams projected to win 8.5 games or more.
The Kansas City Chiefs always have an excellent chance to win the division with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback. Still, the loss of wide receiver Tyreek Hill will hurt.
The Los Angeles Chargers have a rising star at quarterback in Justin Herbert, plus excellent weapons at his disposal and one of the best pass-rushing duos in the sport with Khalil Mack and Joey Bosa.
This should be the Chargers’ year.
- Kansas City Chiefs: 10.5; Over (-115); Under (-105)
- Los Angeles Chargers: 10; Over (-140); Under (+120)
- Denver Broncos: 9.5; Over (-135); Under (+115)
- Las Vegas Raiders: 8.5; Over (-115); Under (-105)
NFC West
Whenever there’s a division with the defending Super Bowl champions, it only makes sense to consider them a consistent winner the following year. Despite their lack of draft capital, the Rams improved their team by bringing in wide receiver Allen Robinson and linebacker Bobby Wagner.
The San Francisco 49ers will be a team to watch in this division with Trey Lance starting at quarterback. Still, the team did retain Jimmy Garoppolo, a luxurious insurance policy should things go south.
There’s an outside shot at the Arizona Cardinals taking over this division, but their defense may have trouble against teams like the Rams or 49ers in their division.
However, if Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray plays as he did for the first 10 weeks or so of last season, that could disrupt this division in a big way.
- Los Angeles Rams: 10.5; Over (-110); Under (-110)
- San Francisco 49ers: 9.5; Over (-160); Under (+135)
- Arizona Cardinals: 8.5; Over (-110); Under (-110)
- Seattle Seahawks: 5.5; Over (-135); Under (+115)
AFC South
Tied for projected wins at 9.5 with the Tennessee Titans, the Indianapolis Colts appear positioned to win the AFC South for the first time since 2014. New quarterback Matt Ryan may not be his former Pro Bowl self, but he’ll run the offense in a consistent way that limits mistakes.
Indianapolis also has running back Jonathan Taylor. He could single-handedly lead an offense, while the receiving corps has improved with Michael Pittman projected as Ryan’s No. 1 option.
The Titans were the No. 1 seed in the AFC last year, but they’ve lost far too many pieces on both sides of the ball to contend with the Colts despite having star running back Derrick Henry.
- Indianapolis Colts: 9.5; Over (-160); Under (+135)
- Tennessee Titans: 9.5; Over (+135); Under (-160)
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 6.5; Over (+115); Under (-135)
- Houston Texans: 4.5; Over (-120); Under (+100)
NFC South
With one of the highest win total projections, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are primed to repeat as division champions. Whenever you have Tom Brady as your quarterback, you think Super Bowl each season, especially since Tampa Bay is phenomenal on both sides of the ball.
However, the New Orleans Saints have performed well against the Brady-led Buccaneers since he joined them, beating them in all four regular-season games since 2020. They’re a definite sleeper team to win the division.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 11.5; Over (+125); Under (-145)
- New Orleans Saints: 8.5; Over (-130); Under (+110)
- Carolina Panthers: 6.5; Over (-110); Under (-110)
- Atlanta Falcons: 4.5; Over (-120); Under (+100)
AFC North
We talk about the Rams as defending Super Bowl champions, but in that game they had a legitimate opponent—the Cincinnati Bengals.
Interestingly, Cincinnati’swin total is less than double-digits despite objectively improving its weakest link this offseason—the offensive line.
To be fair, the Baltimore Ravens are coming off a disastrous 2021 campaign after having dealt with numerous injuries on the defense, the running back depth chart and quarterback Lamar Jackson.
It’s hard to count out a Ravens team led by Jackson all season long, but the Bengals will be right back in the mix. This division will come down to the wire.
- Baltimore Ravens: 10.5; Over (+100); Under (-120)
- Cincinnati Bengals: 9.5; Over (-130); Under (+110)
- Cleveland Browns: 8.5; Over (+135); Under (-160)
- Pittsburgh Steelers: 7.5; Over (-105); Under (-115)
NFC North
Yes, there’s a lack of wide receivers in Green Bay, but by now, we’ve learned not to count out quarterback Aaron Rodgers who seems to win the MVP every year.
The Vikings are a bit of a projection but are another team trending upward with new head coach Kevin O’Connell who should be more offensively oriented. There are plenty of great weapons here, and Cousins is a more than adequate signal caller, but never count out Rodgers and this Packers offense.
- Green Bay Packers: 10.5; Over (-160); Under (+135)
- Minnesota Vikings: 9.5; Over (-110); Under (-110)
- Detroit Lions: 6.5; Over (-125); Under (+105)
- Chicago Bears: 5.5; Over (-145); Under (+125)
