NFL Playoffs Divisional Round Schedule
- Houston Texans (+9.5) vs. Baltimore Ravens (-9.5)
- Green Bay Packers (+9.5) vs. San Francisco 49ers (-9.5)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6.5) vs. Detroit Lions (-6.5)
- Kansas City Chiefs (+2.5) vs. Buffalo Bills (-2.5)
The Divisional Round of the 2024 NFL Playoffs kicks off this weekend as eight teams look to take one step closer to capturing the Super Bowl trophy.
The major story of the Wild Card Round was young teams such as the Houston Texans and Green Bay Packers upsetting their older, more established adversaries. While this weekend’s matchups could go several ways, we’ve put together same-game parlays for every game.
Which players and teams will stand out this weekend? Let’s jump into the parlays.
Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Subject to change.
NFL Divisional Round Playoff Parlays
Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens
- C.J. Stroud over 242.5 passing yards
- Lamar Jackson over 228.5 passing yards
- Gus Edwards under 47.5 rushing yards
- Nico Collins anytime touchdown scorer
- Texans +10.5
- Total odds: +1616
Stroud proved he isn’t frightened by the playoff stage after dicing up the Cleveland Browns’ defense for 274 passing yards and three touchdowns on just 21 pass attempts last weekend. He managed 242 yards with no turnovers in his NFL debut on the road against the Ravens, beat the line in seven of his last nine games and has continually come up clutch. He’s worth a shot to go over this total.
Jackson has gone under 200 passing yards in three of his four career playoff games, but this is the best and most comfortable he’s looked throwing the ball. Plus, he has better receiving options than ever before. He put up 252 yards against the San Francisco 49ers and 321 against the Miami Dolphins to cap off his regular season. He now faces a Texans squad that ranked 23rd in average passing yards allowed (234.1) and let Joe Flacco rack up 307 yards in the Wild Card Round.
Edwards is great around the goal line but can be up and down as an overall runner. With Stroud sitting on the opposite sideline, it’s reasonable to expect Baltimore to put this game almost totally in Jackson’s hands. Houston should also sell out to stop the run like it did last week when it held the Browns to 56 rushing yards.
Collins is the clear-cut top option in the Texans’ passing game with Tank Dell out for the season due to an injury. He tallied eight regular-season TDs and scored again in the Wild Card Round, finding the end zone in six of his last nine games. Houston will have to score to keep pace with the Ravens, and Stroud isn’t afraid to take deep shots down the field to his budding star.
The Texans are hot and playing with house money as massive underdogs. DeMeco Ryans has done a fantastic job preparing his team and has a quarterback that could end up being the best player on the field if Jackson’s playoff struggles continue. Baltimore also tends to blow teams out by forcing turnovers, but Stroud had the league’s lowest interception rate (1.0%).
Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers
- Christian McCaffrey 70+ rushing yards
- Jordan Love over 246.5 passing yards
- Jayden Reed over 41.5 receiving yards
- George Kittle anytime touchdown scorer
- 49ers moneyline
- Total odds: +1054
The Packers’ run defense was excellent against the Dallas Cowboys in the Wild Card Round, but it also ranked 28th in average rushing yards allowed (128.3). McCaffrey should be well-rested thanks to the Niners’ first-round bye, giving him a launching pad to continue his regular-season dominance (first in rushing yards). He cleared this total in 11 of 16 games and should do it again as the focal point of San Francisco’s offense.
Love is arguably the hottest QB in the league, having racked up 23 total TDs and only one INT over his last nine games. He also beat this line in eight of his last 10 games and is in a position to go over again, albeit against an outstanding defense. If Green Bay is ahead, it’ll be because he found success through the air. If the Packers are trailing, he’ll have to air the ball out to try to come back.
Reed led Green Bay in regular-season receiving yards (49.6 per game) but strangely did not record a reception against the Cowboys. There’s a strong chance Love comes out of the gates looking for his favorite target to help get him going. The Niners may also shade their defense in the direction of Romeo Doubs, who had a career day last weekend with 151 receiving yards and a touchdown.
Kittle, Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel and McCaffrey all caught six or seven TDs during the regular season, giving San Francisco tremendous offensive balance. We’re interested in Kittle in this matchup because the Packers gave up seven regular-season TDs to tight ends (tied for third-most) and three in the Wild Card Round. He’ll also get to run free if the Niners successfully use McCaffrey to set up the play action as they so often do.
Green Bay pulled off an amazing feat ending Dallas’ 16-game home winning streak and becoming the first seven-seed in the expanded playoff format to win a playoff game. However, the Packers are not as talented or as rested as San Francisco, are flying across the country to play a road game and have the youngest offense in the league. They’ll need to be perfect to win, while the Niners need to be decent.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions
- Baker Mayfield 200+ passing yards
- Jared Goff under 272.5 passing yards
- Mike Evans anytime touchdown scorer
- Buccaneers +7.5
- Under 52.5 points
- Total odds: +824
Mayfield was a mess in Week 18 because of debilitating shoulder and rib injuries but bounced back in the Wild Card Round, racking up 337 passing yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions. He became the only player in franchise history to put up those numbers in a playoff game. He’s cleared the 200-yard barrier in 13 of 18 games and is facing a Lions squad that Matt Stafford torched for 367 yards on 10.2 yards per attempt last week.
Goff had a great game against his old team, going 22 of 27 for 277 yards. However, he was one of the worst QBs in the league when facing pressure this year, and the Bucs managed to get to Jalen Hurts in an average of 2.5 seconds last week (tied for the fastest in Hurts’ career). They will put the heat on Goff, making it tough for him to hit the Over on his total.
Evans made a few mental mistakes against the Philadelphia Eagles but tied Tyreek Hill for the league lead in receiving touchdowns (13) this season. With Baker playing with confidence again, expect Evans to get his share of downfield looks in the most important game of the year. Detroit also ranked 27th in both passing touchdowns and passing yards allowed, allowing him to exploit a vulnerable defense.
Styles make fights. Tampa Bay found ways to bring pressure from different angles last week against an Eagles offensive line that Pro Football Focus graded as the best in the league, so it shouldn’t be too intimidated by the Lions (who also have a great line). If Mayfield plays a clean game and the Bucs put pressure on Goff, they’ll have a great shot of not only covering the alternative spread but also winning.
Philly abandoned the run early last week, a mistake that Detroit is unlikely to make. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay struggles to run the ball and can’t expect Mayfield to be flawless again. This has the makings of a back-and-forth game filled with defensive stands, which fits the Under.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills
- Patrick Mahomes over 27.5 rushing yards
- Josh Allen 40+ rushing yards
- Rashee Rice 70+ receiving yards
- Isiah Pacheco anytime touchdown scorer
- Chiefs moneyline
- Total odds: +1812
Mahomes averages 28.3 rushing yards in his playoff career and ran for 41 yards last week, even beating this line with his long of 28 yards. This is expected to be a cold-weather game in Buffalo, and he shouldn’t hesitate to take off like he would during the regular season.
Allen had one of the most impressive running seasons for a quarterback in league history, tying Hurts for the single-season QB rushing touchdown record of 15. He also beat this line in three straight games and rumbled for 74 yards last week, highlighted by his 52-yard touchdown run.
Rice, a 23-year-old rookie, is doing his best to pour cold water on the burning fire that was the Chiefs’ receiving room. He brought down eight balls for 130 yards and a touchdown in the Wild Card Round, giving him back-to-back games of at least 125 yards. He’s exceeded 70 receiving yards in five of the last seven weeks and only missed by an average of 9.5 yards the other weeks.
Pacheco has scored at least one touchdown in five straight games, including last week against the Dolphins. He also recorded a season-high in carries (24) and should be at the heart of Kansas City’s game plan as it prepares to brave the elements for the second straight week. When all else fails, Pacheco’s aggressiveness and physicality make him a constant threat around the goal line, especially since he’s also used as a receiving option in short-yardage situations.
The Chiefs have not lost before the AFC Championship Game and are 2-0 against the Bills in the playoffs during the Mahomes era. They feature one of the league’s best defenses (second in average points and yards allowed) and have the extra motivation of being counted out by the oddsmakers as road underdogs. The Bills are on a six-game win streak but are always one Allen turnover away from disaster (he had 22 this year).
Photo by Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images
