Betting Preview
Game Details
- Matchup: New York Giants at Buffalo Bills
- Date: Sunday, Oct. 15 (Week 6)
- Time: 8:20 p.m. EST
- Location: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, NY)
Odds Summary
- Moneyline: Giants +750, Bills -1200
- Spread: Giants +15.5 (-110), Bills -15.5 (-110)
- Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-110/-110)
Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Subject to change.
The 1-4 New York Giants are in deep trouble as they head into Highmark Stadium to take on the 3-2 Buffalo Bills on Sunday Night Football in Week 6.
A potential upset win for the Giants would be a much bigger blow to the Bills at this point in the 2023 NFL schedule, making this game intriguing as Buffalo pushes toward Super Bowl contention.
Plain and simple, this game features one of the best teams in the NFL vs. one of the worst.
The Bills are expected playoff contenders with solid championship futures odds of +1000. New York, however, is a massive longshot at +50000 (third-worst in the NFL).
Realistically, the most excitement from this game will come from Buffalo and how many points they can score.
The Bills are looking to bounce back after losing to the Jacksonville Jaguars in London last week, while the Giants are hoping to avoid their fourth straight loss by double digits.
Moneyline
Buffalo enters this game as a massive -1200 home favorite on the moneyline and should win this game easily.
New York has proved a disaster on offense this year, ranking 31st in scoring and 32nd in yardage.
Starting quarterback Daniel Jones has already been ruled out for Sunday’s contest with a neck injury, putting backup Tyrod Taylor in line for the start against his former team.
With running back Saquon Barkley and tight end Darren Waller also questionable, the Giants will have difficulty moving the ball.
It doesn’t help that the Bills’ defense has been a nightmare for quarterbacks this year, leading the league with 21 sacks.
New York hasn’t played well defensively either, allowing the fourth-most points in the league with 153. Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs and the rest of Buffalo’s high-powered offense should have a field day on Sunday.
Point Spread
The spread has grown to 15.5 points in favor of the Bills since Jones was ruled out, but they’re still the play in this category.
As mentioned above, Buffalo should put up a ton of points on Sunday.
The Bills boast one of the best offenses in the NFL, ranking third in scoring and fourth in yardage. They’ve also dominated opponents in their three wins, scoring at least 37 points and winning by at least 28 points each time.
The Giants, on the other hand, are no strangers to getting blown out. All four of their losses have come by at least 15 points with an average deficit of 23.5 points.
Expect both trends to continue here with Buffalo scoring at will, shutting down New York’s banged-up offense and covering easily.
Over/Under
The Under 43.5 is the safe pick in this one, as the Bills should perform a surgical beatdown, racking up points and keeping the Giants from scoring.
Buffalo will score, but it wouldn’t be surprising if New York gets shut out or only scores in single digits.
The Giants have scored more than 12 points only twice this year and will be lucky to crack double digits in this game without Jones under center.
The Bills have already had a couple of dominant defensive performances, yielding just 13 points in Weeks 2 and 3 combined.
Their offense will likely take their foot off the gas in the second half, however, once the game is in hand.
Ultimately, New York’s depleted offense won’t score enough against Buffalo’s stingy defense to hit the Over.
Player Prop
Allen’s player prop to record Over 1.5 pass touchdowns (-215 on DraftKings) is a viable wager.
With how poorly the Giants’ defense has been playing, it wouldn’t be surprising if Allen hits the Over in the first half.
New York’s secondary only has two interceptions so far, so Allen should be free to throw the ball all over the field.
The Bills’ offense will be looking to make a statement after last week’s lackluster outing in London, so don’t be surprised if Allen comes out firing and cashes this prop early.
He already has 11 passing TDs through five games and has thrown multiple scores in three of his last four games.
Photo by Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images
