Packers vs. Lions TNF Week 14: Prediction, Odds, Spread, Picks & Best Bets

Both teams are coming into this matchup red-hot. The Lions have won 10 straight games for the first time since 1934 and are 11-1 for the first time in franchise history.

The Packers have been nearly as good, winning three in a row and seven of their last eight. Their only loss during that time came against Detroit at home in Week 9 – a 24-14 defeat to the Lions.

Green Bay is 4-1 on the road this year and has won its last four away games. Detroit has done a good job protecting its home turf, however, going 5-1 at Ford Field and winning its last four home games.

The Lions have dominated this rivalry lately, winning five of their last six matchups with the Packers, including two of the last three in Detroit.

The Lions also have a significantly better point differential (plus-183) than Green Bay (plus-78). Throw in Detroit’s home-field advantage and superior record, and we’re taking the Lions to win outright.

The hook is critical here, as this should be a close game that will likely be decided by a field goal.

The Lions have been outstanding against the spread this year, going 9-3 ATS. They lead the NFL in scoring (31.9 PPG), give up the third-fewest points (16.9 PPG) and are outscoring opponents by 15 points per game.

They’ve failed to cover in two of their last four games, however, including last week against the Bears.

The Packers are more than capable of winning this game outright, or at least keeping it close. Their offense is capable of keeping up with Detroit’s (30-plus points in three of their last five games), and their defense is nearly as good (20 PPG allowed).

Take the points with Green Bay in a game that could go down to the wire.

This is a lofty total, which isn’t surprising given the firepower on both sides.

These are two of the best offenses in football. The Lions lead the league in scoring and rank second in yardage, while the Packers are eighth in points and third in yardage.

Both teams are also strong defensively, so the Over isn’t a lock. In fact, the Over is 5-6-1 for both teams this year.

Looking at this total specifically, seven of Green Bay’s last eight games have had fewer than 51 points, while four of Detroit’s last five games have gone below that total.

Four of the last five games between these two teams have gone below this total, and we expect that trend to continue. Look for a 27-24 type of game that barely hits the Under.

Jordan Love Over 0.5 Interceptions (-155)

Love has been one of the most interception-prone quarterbacks in the league this year, throwing 11 picks in 10 games. He has 22 interceptions in 27 games since becoming a full-time starter last year.

That makes this a great prop bet to target with Detroit’s defense, which ranks third in the NFL with 14 interceptions. Love has been picked off in eight of 10 games this year, including Week 9 against the Lions.

Josh Jacobs Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-165)

Jacobs has been a touchdown machine lately, scoring eight touchdowns over his last six games. That includes seven rushing TDs over his last five games.

The Lions have a good run defense but rank 25th in passing yards allowed, so the Packers should be able to move the ball through the air. Jacobs will likely get several scoring opportunities near the goal line, so look for him to cash in.

• Josh Jacobs 50+ Rushing Yards
• David Montgomery Anytime Touchdown Scorer
• Jordan Love 225+ Passing Yards
• Jahmyr Gibbs 75+ Rushing + Receiving Yards
• Total odds: +365

Jacobs ran for 95 yards on 13 carries the last time he faced the Lions, posting his highest yards per attempt (7.3) of the season. He’s averaging 82.3 rushing yards per game this year and should be heavily involved on Thursday.

With 11 touchdowns in 12 games this year, Montgomery is a great bet to find the end zone. He’s scored in nine of 12 games this season.

Love has thrown for at least 245 yards in all three of his career starts against Detroit, including earlier this year (273 yards). He’s averaging 251.8 passing yards per game this season and has eclipsed 260 yards in three of his last four games.

Lastly, Gibbs is averaging 104.6 total yards per game and had 76 against Green Bay earlier this year. He’s notched at least 75 total yards in 11 straight games.

• Moneyline: Lions (-175). The Lions are the better team and are playing at home. They haven’t lost since Week 2.
• Spread: Packers +3.5 (-118). There isn’t much separating these teams, so Green Bay should be able to keep this game within a field goal.
• Over/Under: Under 51.5 (-112). This may not hit by much, but both defenses are elite and should slow down the offenses just enough.
• Jordan Love Over 0.5 Interceptions (-155). Love is one of the most interception-happy QBs in the league and is a good bet to throw one against Detroit’s ball-hawking secondary.
• Josh Jacobs Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-165): This game should feature plenty of points on both sides, and Jacobs has been impossible to keep out of the end zone lately.
• SGP – Jacobs 50+ Rush Yds, Montgomery Anytime TD, Love 225+ Pass Yds, Gibbs 75+ Rush+Rec Yds (+365): Back these stars to be prominently featured in primetime with this four-leg same-game parlay.