Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys Week 10: Odds, Predictions, Picks & Best Bets

There is always drama surrounding the Cowboys, but this year there is more smoke than usual. Dallas’ defense has been awful, allowing the second-most points per game (28.1) and ranking 30th against the run (147.8 yards against per game).

Prescott’s injury is a devastating blow to the Cowboys’ offense, especially since it has virtually no running game whatsoever. They are 31st in the NFL in rushing yards per game (82.0) and have thrown the ball (326 pass attempts) nearly twice as often as they’ve run it (173 rush attempts).

Dallas will get no respite from the Eagles, who have continued to be one of the best rushing teams in the league this season. Led by Saquon Barkley, who is already closing in on 1,000 rushing yards, Philadelphia is second in the NFL in rushing yards per game (174.8).

The Eagles have actually been better running the ball in road games, too. They’re averaging 5.5 yards per carry in away games compared to 4.4 yards per carry at home, helping them go 3-1 on the road. That’s mainly due to Barkley, who’s averaging a whopping 129 rushing yards per game and 7.8 yards per carry on the road.

There could be good news for the Cowboys with the potential return of EDGE rusher Micah Parsons from an ankle injury this week. But without Prescott, this should be a rout.

Thus, we’ll back Philadelphia on the moneyline, even though the odds provide little value outside of a parlay leg.

We’d normally back the home team in a rivalry game, but this spread seems almost too low based on the matchup and how both teams are playing.

Dallas has covered +7 in just one of its three home games this season, and it was a backdoor cover after falling behind 28-6 to the Baltimore Ravens in Week 3.

Cowboys backup QB Cooper Rush has had success subbing in for Prescott in the past, going 5-1 as a starter. His lone loss came against the Eagles, however, and he hasn’t started a game since 2022.

This is a tough matchup for Rush against a Philadelphia defense that ranks ninth in fewest points allowed per game and third in fewest yards allowed per game. Without much of a running game to take the pressure off Rush, Dallas will likely struggle to move the ball and have trouble scoring.

Mash the Eagles to cover this spread, especially if it remains -7.

This total is very low considering the offensive players in this game, even with Rush playing. The Over is 3-0 in games played at AT&T Stadium this year, as Dallas is allowing nearly 40 points per home game.

Philadelphia’s defense has been much improved this season under new defensive coordinator Vic Fangio, especially of late. The Eagles’ defense has allowed just 45 points over the past four games, though Philadelphia has surrendered two defensive touchdowns in that span.

But the Eagles’ offense is rolling, and the Cowboys are likely to put up points in garbage time. Thus, we are backing the Over since it’s an extremely low bar to clear.

Jalen Hurts Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+100)

Hurts leads Philadelphia in rushing touchdowns this season (eight), averaging one per game thanks to his team’s impressive ability to execute the Brotherly Shove. It’s almost incomprehensible how often the Eagles find themselves at the 1-yard line before surging over the goal line with Hurts.

Hurts has six rushing TDs over his last three games and is a good bet to find pay dirt again if Philadelphia gets near the end zone against Dallas’ porous defense.

Brandon Aubrey Over 1.5 Field Goals Made (-135)

Aubrey continues to be one of the lone bright spots for Dallas, as he is trending towards All-Pro status for the second straight year. He is 20-for-22 (90.9%) on field goal tries this season with a long of 65 yards.

The Cowboys are in Aubrey’s range whenever they cross the 50-yard line, especially at home. Aubrey is a perfect 30-for-30 in field goal attempts at AT&T Stadium and is averaging almost three field goals per game at home.

Aubrey has topped this prop in each of Dallas’ three home games this season and should be busy on Sunday, as Rush & Co. will likely have a hard time finishing drives.

• Moneyline: Eagles (-370). Dallas was already an underdog in this game before Prescott went down and has been a disaster at home. Back the team with the better offense, defense and quarterback.
• Spread: Eagles -7 (-110). It will be hard for the Cowboys to keep this game within a touchdown with Rush under center, especially against the more talented Eagles.
• Over/Under: Over 42.5 (-115). Rush isn’t Prescott, but he’s still a capable backup and should help Dallas score enough to push this total over.
• Jalen Hurts Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+100). Hurts is tied for second in the NFL in rushing touchdowns and is averaging one per game, making him a good bet to cross the pylons.
• Brandon Aubrey Over 1.5 Field Goals Made (-135). Aubrey is close to automatic, especially at home. Without Prescott, the Cowboys will rely on him to score points.