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The reeling San Francisco 49ers will try to revive their season when they take on the Green Bay Packers in a Week 12 NFC showdown dripping with playoff implications on Sunday at Lambeau Field.
The 49ers (5-5) are last in the NFC West due to tiebreakers yet are only one game back of the division-leading Arizona Cardinals. San Francisco is looking to bounce back from a devastating last-minute loss to the Seattle Seahawks at home last week.
The Packers (7-3) are third in the NFC North but have the fourth-best record in the conference. Green Bay has won five of six after a 2-2 start, including a thrilling 20-19 victory over the Chicago Bears on Sunday where the Packers blocked the game-winning kick.
Despite their differences, both teams have the exact same Super Bowl odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. Both teams are listed at +1900, which is tied for the seventh-shortest odds.
With Green Bay narrowly favored at home, here’s how we expect this critical matchup to play out at our favorite NFL betting sites.
Game Details
- Matchup: San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 24, 2024 (Week 12)
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Location: Lambeau Field (Green Bay, Wisconsin)
- Watch: FOX
Odds Summary
- Moneyline: 49ers +114, Packers -134
- Spread: 49ers +1.5 (-105), Packers -1.5 (-115)
- Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-105/-115)
Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook and subject to change.
49ers vs Packers Moneyline
It may seem like hyperbole in November, but this game could be make-or-break for the 49ers, especially with their difficult schedule ahead.
The defending NFC champs have been ravaged by injuries this year, especially on offense. Christian McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel and George Kittle have all missed multiple games, and now Brock Purdy is questionable to start Sunday with a shoulder injury.
San Francisco is getting healthier, but it desperately needs a win this week to move above .500 and keep pace in the NFC West. Its defense has remained stout, ranking sixth in fewest yards against per game.
While the 49ers have been unlucky, the Packers have benefited from good fortune. Five of their seven wins have come by one score this year, including last week’s miraculous one-point win over the Bears.
One key difference is how these teams finish games. San Francisco has a minus-27 point differential in the fourth quarter, while Green Bay has a plus-29 point differential in the final frame.
That could be the difference in a close game, especially if Purdy is limited or unavailable. Back the Packers to hold off the Niners at home.
49ers vs Packers Spread
With the spread at 1.5 points, this game is basically a pick’em.
There’s no point in taking it for the 49ers, as the spread offers little protection if they lose. Either grab an alternate spread of +3 or take them outright at plus odds on the moneyline.
Conversely, the spread has better value for Packers bettors compared to the moneyline. If Green Bay wins, it will likely do so by at least two points and cover.
Only one of the Packers’ seven wins this year failed to cover -1.5 (last week), so take Green Bay to cover.
49ers vs Packers Over/Under
Both offenses are potent, ranking tied for eighth in the NFL in points per game (25.0). With McCaffrey, Kittle, Samuel, Josh Jacobs and Jordan Love, this game has no shortage of offensive stars.
That said, both defenses have been stingy. The Packers rank 10th in points allowed and 12th in yards allowed, while the 49ers are sixth in yards allowed and 16th in points allowed.
Furthermore, the Under has been the trend for both teams recently. The Under is 4-2 in San Francisco’s last six games and 4-1-1 in Green Bay’s last six games.
Bet on another relatively low-scoring game this week, especially if Purdy sits or isn’t 100%.
49ers vs Packers Props
Josh Jacobs Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-135)
Jacobs struggled to find pay dirt when Love was out, but he’s been a scoring machine lately. The two-time Pro Bowler has at least one touchdown in four of his last six games and four touchdowns in his last four games.
The 49ers’ run defense has struggled to keep opponents out of the end zone, ranking 24th in rushing touchdowns allowed (13). They’ve allowed 10 rushing TDs in their last six games, including two last week to the Seahawks’ lackluster ground game.
Jacobs is averaging 19.9 touches per game this year and is getting plenty of volume, so look for him to find the end zone again this week.
Christian McCaffrey Over 110.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-114)
This is a high bar to clear, especially against Green Bay’s stingy defense. But with Purdy banged up, San Francisco will likely lean on the reigning Offensive Player of the Year even more than usual.
McCaffrey has picked up where he left off after missing the first half of the season with an Achilles injury, topping 100 scrimmage yards in both games so far. He’s averaging 21 touches per game this year and could be even busier on Sunday depending on Purdy’s status.
Look for McCaffrey to be heavily involved and surpass this prop.
49ers vs Packers Best Bets Summary
- Moneyline: Packers (-134). The Niners have won two straight on the road, but they’ll have a hard time winning in Green Bay if Purdy’s banged up.
- Spread: Packers -1.5 (-115). If the Packers win, it will almost certainly be by at least two points.
- Over/Under: Under 47.5 (-115). These are two good defensive teams and both offenses are coming off mediocre performances last week (37 combined points).
- Josh Jacobs Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-135). Jacobs should find pay dirt against a Niners defense that has been terrible at keeping RBs out of the end zone.
- Christian McCaffrey Over 110.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-114). McCaffrey has hit the ground running since coming back from injury and should see plenty of volume this weekend.
