Editor’s note: This article will be updated as Super Bowl LVII approaches.
The final game of the 2022-23 NFL season is here.
The Kansas City Chiefs take on the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl LVII on Feb. 12, 2023.
The Eagles opened as slight -130 moneyline betting favorites against the Chiefs, listed at +110. Odds may vary slightly based on the online sports betting site you use, and odds will fluctuate as the game approaches and, of course, during the game itself.
Here are the betting lines for the game as of Sunday, Feb. 12.
- Moneyline: Eagles -120, Chiefs +100
- Spread: Eagles -1.5 (-110), Chiefs +1.5 (-110)
- Total: Over/Under 51 Points (-110/-110)
Could the game end in a tie? The game would go into overtime, as there must be a winner. But you can bet on an equal score at the end of regulation. That price is +1000.
Why Do Super Bowl Odds Change?
The odds and lines will fluctuate based on news that comes out leading up to the game. Injuries and player statuses are the most impactful developments.
Sportsbooks also try to balance their liability on the game, adjusting odds based on money that has been bet. Every online betting site wants to generate winnings on the game.
According to the American Gaming Association, the gambling industry’s leading trade group, an estimated $7.61 billion was bet on the 2022 Super Bowl.
Due to the fluctuating odds and lines, bettors might place their wager before things change. The odds and line movement don’t change your bet. It’s locked in at the price you paid.
Waiting to make a specific wager could benefit you if the odds grow longer, or you may have to pay a worse price for that bet if you wait. You may be able to anticipate line movement if you are a die-hard fan and pay attention to the news and what’s trending on social media.
NFL football is the most heavily bet sport in the U.S., so sportsbooks have hundreds of ways to bet on the Super Bowl. Let’s look at some of the betting markets for Super Bowl LVII.
Super Bowl Prop Bet Overview
A proposition bet (prop for short) is a wager on something other than who will win the game. Picking the winner is the most popular way to bet on sports, but sportsbooks offer many other ways to bet on game-related outcomes. The Super Bowl is a buffet of props.
Game Props
There are hundreds of ways to bet on the game’s outcome that don’t directly involve the performance of any specific player on either team.
Here’s a look at just some of the gambling smorgasbord:
- Any team to score 30+ points
- Any team to score 40+ points
- Both teams to score 2+ touchdowns
- Both teams to score 3+ touchdowns
- Each team to score 1+ touchdown and 1+ field goal
- Either team to Score 3 unanswered times
- Game to be tied again after 0-0?
- Largest lead of the game
- Last team to score
- Special or defensive team touchdown scored?
- Successful 2-point conversion
- Team to score longest touchdown
- Longest touchdown yards
- Shortest touchdown yards
- Longest field goal made
- Shortest field goal made
- Team to record first sack
- Safety to be scored
- First team to punt
- Correct score
- Winning margin
- Game to go into overtime
- First drive result
Touchdown Scorer
There are dozens of ways to bet on specific players finding the endzone in the game.
You have three main options when looking at the players:
- First TD scorer
- Last TD scorer
- Anytime TD scorer
It’s a crapshoot regarding the first TD scorer, with the opening co-favorites Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia’s QB) and Miles Sanders listed at +650 against the field. Travis Kelce was close behind at +700.
For a moneyline, +650 would be a huge underdog, but here it’s a favorite against more than 30 other players in the betting market.
It’s the same situation for the last TD scorer. You can gamble on dozens of players.
Anytime TD scorer is easier to predict, as the timing doesn’t matter. Hurts, Sanders, Kelce, Isiah Pacheco, A.J. Brown, and Dallas Goedert are all listed at roughly 50-50 to score in the game.
Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes isn’t likely to score himself, so his odds for the respective TD scorer markets were listed at +2800, +3000, and +480.
If you want to be brave and bet that no one will score a touchdown in the game (only field goals or no points at all), you can bet that at +16000. It’s a massive long shot.
Additionally, you can wager on players to score multiple touchdowns. Kelce opened as the favorite for both 2+ touchdowns (+550) and 3+ touchdowns (+2500), with other players not far behind in the odds.
There are many more TD scorer markets, including:
- Player to score a TD and his team wins
- Player to score game’s first TD and his team wins
- First TD scorer on player’s team
- Player to score a TD in both halves
- Anytime TD scorer first half
- Anytime TD scorer second half
- Anytime TD scorer first quarter
Super Bowl 57 MVP
Quarterbacks typically take the award for game MVP.
Hurts (+110) and Mahomes (+130) are both roughly 50-50 against the field, with Brown and Kelce listed at the long-shot price of +1000.
You can also wager on the position of MVP, with QB listed as a massive -650 favorite.
Novelty Props
These wagers can appeal to casual football fans, but experienced bettors also engage with them.
Oddsmakers have lines on so-called novelty props that include:
- Coin toss (heads or tails)
- Team to win coin toss
- Eagles to win coin toss and the game
- Jersey number of first touchdown scorer (over/under)
- Jersey number of last touchdown scorer (over/under)
- Team to make first coach’s challenge
- Will the first coach’s challenge be successful?
- Any FG/XP To hit an upright or the crossbar
- Color of first Gatorade poured on winning head coach
- Will there be an octopus?
Notably, you cannot bet on the length (over/under) of the National Anthem performance.
Passing Props
You can wager on the number of touchdowns and the number of yards Hurts and Mahomes throw for in the game. Mahomes is the better passer, reflected in his odds and lines.
The over/under passing yardage for Hurts was listed at 244.5, with Mahomes at 288.5.
You can also wager an over/under on how many interceptions they each throw.
Finally, oddsmakers offer odds on their longest completions.
Rushing & Receiving Props
Running backs and wide receivers have their own markets for the game, with over/unders the standard way of wagering on these important offensive players.
You can also bet on the longest rush and longest reception.
Kicking Props
Kickers get some extra attention from bettors for the game.
You can bet the number of kicking points each kicker makes, as well as the number of PATs.
Super Bowl LVII Best Bets?
Sports are highly unpredictable. There are no “best bets” on Super Bowl LVII in terms of finding a reliable method to turn a profit. All of the available bets are gambling.
That said, there are some considerations to make your money last longer gambling.
Typically, you want to avoid long shots with odds longer than +1000. Long shots can hit, but often the price needs to be better to buy the equivalent of a lottery ticket. Sports betting sites benefit from the general public’s bias towards long shots and higher payouts.
A parlay is the classic example of a long-shot bet. Sportsbooks have a higher hold (winning percentage) with parlays and long shots in general.
That said, if you’re looking for so-called added excitement, then same-game parlays and straight long-shot bets might be the right wagers for you. But be prepared to lose the wager.
A minus-money bet might be less exciting if you win, but it can extend your budget for wagering on the NFL’s Big Game. Set limits on how much you’re willing to spend.
