There are countless ways to bet on Super Bowl LVII. One of the most challenging is predicting the game’s final score, but many football fans try their luck.
According to BetMGM Sportsbook, one of the best sports betting apps in the U.S., one of its most heavily bet props is on a 37-34 final score (including possible overtime), with the Philadelphia Eagles coming out on top against the Kansas City Chiefs.
The odds on this exact score are +8000. A $100 wager would pay out $8,000 in profit.
The popularity of the final score prediction appears to have come from a viral post on Twitter. In the since-deleted post, it was claimed that the score of 37-34 was “leaked.” Obviously, that’s a joke because the game has yet to be played.
A 37-34 Eagles win has some of the shortest odds among all the possible final score outcomes. Here’s a look at the other final scores with equal or shorter betting odds.
- Eagles 27, Chiefs 24: +5000
- Chiefs 27, Eagles 24: +5000
- Chiefs 20, Eagles 17: +6600
- Chiefs 23, Eagles 20: +6600
- Eagles 20, Chiefs 17: +6600
- Eagles 23, Chiefs 20: +8000
- Eagles 27, Chiefs 20: +8000
- Eagles 30, Chiefs 27: +8000
- Eagles 31, Chiefs 24: +8000
Odds for this market are as long as +50000 for many different (and improbable) final scores.
The most likely final score is 27-24, with either team winning, according to oddsmakers. The Eagles were slight moneyline betting favorites as of Tuesday.
Is Guessing The Final Score A Good Bet?
The short answer is no. It’s very unlikely that you will guess the final score.
As mentioned, 27-24 has the shortest odds for Super Bowl LVII. However, there hasn’t been a single Super Bowl in history with a 27-24 final score.
Here’s a look at the Super Bowl final scores this century:
- 2000: St. Louis 23, Tennessee 16
- 2001: Baltimore 34, New York Giants 7
- 2002: New England 20, St. Louis 17
- 2003: Tampa Bay 48, Oakland 21
- 2004: New England 32, Carolina 29
- 2005: New England 24, Philadelphia 21
- 2006: Pittsburgh 21, Seattle 10
- 2007: Indianapolis 29, Chicago 17
- 2008: New York Giants 17, New England 14
- 2009: Pittsburgh 27, Arizona 23
- 2010: New Orleans 31, Indianapolis 17
- 2011: Green Bay 31, Pittsburgh 25
- 2012: New York Giants 21, New England 17
- 2013: Baltimore 34, San Francisco 31
- 2014: Seattle 43, Denver 8
- 2015: New England 28, Seattle 24
- 2016: Denver 24, Carolina 10
- 2017: New England 34, Atlanta 28
- 2018: Philadelphia 41, New England 33
- 2019: New England 13, Los Angeles Rams 3
- 2020: Kansas City 31, San Francisco 20
- 2021: Tampa Bay 31, Kansas City 9
- 2022: Los Angeles Rams 23, Cincinnati 20
Gamblers Liking The Over
If bettors at one of the leading sports betting sites are taking 37-34 Eagles as the final score, then one would expect the over on the total number of points to be popular.
According to BetMGM, nearly 60% of the dollars in the over/under market are on the over 50.5 points. The aforementioned final score is way more than 50.5 points.
A more measured wager would be the over rather than a long-shot wager on the final score.
There is a general principle in sports betting that the public prefers the over, regardless of sport, because it’s more fun to root for a high-scoring game.
That appears to be the case for Super Bowl LVII. However, 71 total points is unlikely.
