Betting Matchup Preview
Game Details
- Who: Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders
- When: Sunday, Dec. 4 (Week 13)
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Where: Allegiant Stadium (Las Vegas, NV)
Betting Odds Summary
- Spread: Chargers -1 (-110), Raiders +1 (-110)
- Moneyline: Chargers (-105), Raiders (-115)
- Total: Over/Under 49.5 (-110/-110)
Note: Odds and lines from BetMGM are current at the time of writing and subject to change.
The Los Angeles Chargers (6-5) hit the road to Sin City for a Week 13 divisional showdown against the Las Vegas Raiders (4-7) at Allegiant Stadium. This will be the second time these two teams meet this year after the Chargers snuck by the Raiders at home with a 24-19 win to open the season.
After a terrible 2-7 start, Las Vegas has played better recently and is coming off back-to-back overtime wins against the Denver Broncos and Seattle Seahawks.
Los Angeles, meanwhile, climbed back above .500 with a one-point road win over the Arizona Cardinals last week – only their second victory since Week 6.
Spread, Moneyline, Total: Chargers vs. Raiders
The bookmakers expect a tightly contested game from these division rivals with a spread of just one point in favor of the Chargers.
However, a significant aspect of predicting this game is still pending, with no concrete word on Josh Jacobs’ status for Sunday (still a game-time call). The Raiders’ top running back has been dealing with a nagging calf injury and was limited at practice this week, so it will be a devastating blow for Las Vegas if he’s sidelined or not at full strength. He’ll likely suit up, but don’t be surprised if Josh McDaniels is more careful with his workload after dialing up 33 rushing attempts for him last week.
Either way, Los Angeles is playable at -1, while Las Vegas is a risky bet. The Raiders stumble into Week 13 with an ugly return on investment (ROI) of -13.28% against the spread this year. Conversely, the Chargers boast the seventh-best ROI ATS in the league at 20.99%.
Similar to the spread, the moneyline is exceptionally close for both teams, with no clear favorite. We are surprised by this, as Los Angeles has been the better team this year and is healthier now.
The total in this matchup is one of the highest on the Week 13 slate. The Raiders’ offense is already limited without Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow, so a banged-up Jacobs will only worsen matters.
Both teams also tend to play games that end up under the total. The under is 3-1 in LA’s previous four games and 3-2 in the last five for Las Vegas.
Player Prop Bets: Chargers vs. Raiders
If you are searching for a single prop bet on the Chargers vs. Raiders, look at Justin Herbert’s passing yards total of 287.5 (-120).
While Herbert has gone under this prop in four straight weeks, he’s in a great spot to potentially surpass 300 yards for the third time this season. He opened the year with 279 yards against Las Vegas and could be poised for an even bigger performance now that LA’s offense is clicking.
It also helps that the Raiders are terrible at defending the pass and are allowing the seventh-most passing yards per game. They are in danger of getting shredded again by Herbert, who has averaged 305 passing yards in five career games against Las Vegas.
Same-Game Parlay: Chargers vs. Raiders
Our same-game parlay for Chargers vs. Chargers consists of the following legs:
- Justin Herbert Over 287.5 Passing Yards (-120)
- Joshua Palmer Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
- Austin Ekeler Under 50.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
- Davante Adams Over 93.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
The first leg of our SGP is Herbert’s passing prop, which we already covered above. Next up is Josua Palmer to go over 55.5 receiving yards. During Keenan Allen’s absence, Palmer emerged as one of Herbert’s top targets in the passing game this year and has gone over this yardage total in four of his last five games. He’s also averaged 9.4 targets per game during that stretch, so volume shouldn’t be an issue for him here, especially if Herbert flirts with 300 passing yards.
Austin Ekeler’s rushing prop at 50.5 yards feels a bit high for the struggling back. He’s fallen short of 50 rushing yards in five of his last six games and eight times in 11 contests this season, making the under the safer play here.
Rounding out our parlay is Davante Adams soaring over his receiving yards prop. Adams has picked up the slack recently with Renfrow and Waller out, averaging 121.8 receiving yards over his last four games and exceeding 125 yards in three of those contests. Look for him to be the focal point of the Las Vegas passing attack again and potentially see even more looks if Jacobs is limited or if the Raiders fall behind.
This parlay gives us +1149 odds, so a winning $100 wager would return $1,149 in profits and your original stake.
