Betting Matchup Preview
Game Details
- Who: Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears
- When: Sunday, Dec. 4, 2022 (Week 13)
- Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Where: Soldier Field (Chicago, Illinois)
Betting Odds Summary
- Moneyline: Packers (-175), Bears (+150)
- Spread: Packers -3.5 (-110), Bears +3.5 (-110)
- Total: Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-110)
Note: Odds and lines are current from DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of writing and are subject to change.
Week 13 brings us tons of division rivalry games across the NFL, including this NFC North clash between the Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears.
It’s currently unclear who will start under center for Chicago. Justin Fields missed last week with a shoulder injury and has been limited at practice. If he’s unable to go, Trevor Siemian will get the call again for the Bear.
Aaron Rodgers is playing through a bum thumb and a rib injury on the Green Bay side. Rumors of a Jordan Love substitution abound, but they don’t seem to hold much water unless 1) the Packers are mathematically eliminated or 2) Rodgers’ injuries prevent him from playing.
Much can happen between Thursday and Sunday, but we’ll do our best to look at the possibilities for this divisional showdown.
Spread, Moneyline, Total: Packers Vs. Bears
This is a tough game to predict, as the Packers are 4-8, and the Bears are 3-9. Both teams are still technically in the playoff hunt, thanks partly to an abysmal season for the NFC North. The 9-2 Minnesota Vikings lead the division comfortably, while the 4-7 Detroit Lions are a distant second.
Realistically though, neither team is going to the playoffs. Soon both will have to start thinking about what’s best for them in 2023, even if that means shutting down certain banged-up quarterbacks.
Green Bay is a 3.5-point road favorite on the spread in this game, which is a tricky number. The Packers have to win by more than a field goal to cover, but that seems like the reasonable pick, especially if Rodgers is good to go.
At -175, there’s plenty of value in the Green Bay moneyline, especially if the spread feels slightly too risky.
As for the total, we recommend steering clear this week, at least until we know for sure who’s playing quarterback. A Rodgers-Siemian duel could trigger the over in a blowout situation, but a Love vs. Siemian scenario would be more conducive to the under. We’ll stick with the moneyline and spread to be safe.
Game Prop Bets: Packers Vs. Bears
Sportsbook markets on this Packers-Bears game amount to a collective shrug. There are no player props yet because nobody knows which players will actually play. Instead of our usual player props, we’ll offer a few game props this week.
- 1st Chicago Bears Drive Result: Punt (-130)
As sad as it is, we’ve got to be realistic about the Bears. They’re already down a running back in Khalil Herbert, and losing Fields would cripple their offense (Chicago managed just 10 points without him last week). David Montgomery is the only known factor this week, and he can’t carry the whole team. It pains this writer to say it, but a punt feels like the most likely outcome on the Bears’ first drive.
- 1st Green Bay Packers Drive Result Grouped: Offensive Score (+180)
This bet accounts for any offensive score for the Packers on their first drive, be it a touchdown or field goal. If Rodgers is playing, expect him to come out firing. He’s dominated the Bears throughout his career and is probably feeling rejuvenated just by the thought of playing them. It’s also worth noting that Green Bay had one of its best offensive performances of the season against Chicago in Week 2, trouncing the Bears on Sunday Night Football, 27-10.
These bets are worth a go because they’re outside of our typical recommendations and will be resolved within minutes of the game beginning. Use them to set the stage for your day. If you win, roll the winnings over into another game. If you lose, maybe let this one play out without much stake in the game.
Our Same-Game Parlay
Again, slim pickings this week due to the quarterback conundrum. Our same-game parlay for this Packers vs. Bears game contains three simple bets:
- Packers -3.5 (-105)
- Chicago Bears Under 20.5 Points (-115)
- Green Bay Packers Over 20.5 Points (-195)
The combined odds of this same game parlay are +220. A $100 bet would win you $220 plus your original wager.
Most of our reasoning for these bets is included in the sections above. This is the Packers’ game to lose, and we don’t think they will, especially considering the Bears’ injury woes.
Without Herbert or Fields, the Bears have exactly one running threat in Montgomery, and the Packers know that. Siemian can’t be trusted under center, so we don’t foresee a ton of scoring opportunities for Chicago. Meanwhile, if Rodgers takes the field, he shouldn’t have too much trouble garnering a handful of passing TDs to put the Bears to bed.
Take it all with a heaping pile of salt. Last-minute clearance for Fields could change the game, but we’re not immensely hopeful.
