Betting Matchup Preview
Game Details
- Who: Chicago Bears at New England Patriots
- When: Monday, Oct. 24, 2022
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, MA)
Betting Odds Summary
- Moneyline: Bears (+320), Patriots (-405)
- Spread: Bears +8.5 (-114), Patriots -8.5 (-106)
- Total: Over/Under 40.5 (-106/-114)
Note: Odds and lines are current at the time of writing and are subject to change.
Another week, another lopsided odds outlook for the Chicago Bears.
The ailing team from the Windy City takes on the New England Patriots this week. The Bears are 2-4, and sure, it doesn’t look good, but the NFL is all over the place these days. Stalwart favorites take brutal losses to teams they’d normally outmatch, while throwaway teams have winning records. This season has been full of upsets and close games, so anything can happen.
Accordingly, expect the unexpected tonight. Neither team is an explosive force, but both are strong defensively, and the game should prove interesting at the very least.
Spread, Moneyline, Total: Bears Vs. Patriots
With so many unexpected outcomes already this season, betting on the NFL is a little trickier.
The point spread is enticing here, particularly on Chicago’s end. Getting 8.5 points is hard to pass up. The Bears are perennial spread underdogs, which typically leads to mismatched odds. We think Chicago +8.5 is reasonable but exercise caution. The Patriots have won big the past two weeks, winning their last two games by a combined 52 points. The Bears’ defense makes them tough to blow out, however, as they’ve only lost one game this season by more than eight points.
We don’t see much value in the moneyline this week with how skewed the odds are. It’s possible Chicago upsets New England, but we’re not too keen on that. Meanwhile, the Patriots’ moneyline isn’t a viable play at -405 odds.
The over/under has some potential this week. The total of 40.5 is pretty low, especially considering New England has averaged 29.3 points over its last four games. Chicago has struggled to score but is coming off a season-high 391 total yards of offense and will be hungry for a win here.
Player Prop Bets: Bears Vs. Patriots
Not ready to make the call on any of the standard bets? Try some player prop bets. This week, we have a few particularly enticing bets.
- Rhamondre Stevenson Anytime TD Scorer (-135
Stevenson emerged as a focal point in New England’s offense over the past few weeks, receiving at least a dozen carries in four straight games. The increased volume has also yielded more scoring opportunities, as he’s found the end zone three times during that span. Bet on the Patriots to continue their run-heavy approach tonight and avoid beating themselves by making mistakes through the air, especially if Mac Jones is rusty in his first game back from injury.
- David Montgomery Over 50.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Montgomery took 15 carries for 67 yards against the Washington Commanders last week, returning to form after a weak showing in Week 5 against the Minnesota Vikings. If you exclude Week 3, when he left early due to injury, he’s averaging 14.8 carries and 58.9 rushing yards per game this year. His rushing yards prop of 50.5 feels a bit low, so we recommend the over here.
Our Same-Game Parlay
This week, our same-game parlay combines three wagers for odds of +572. A winning $100 bet would pay out $572 plus your original stake.
- Rhamondre Stevenson Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
- Khalil Herbert Over 32.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
- Justin Fields Over 160.5 Passing Yards (-110)
We already touched on Stevenson above, but we expect him to remain heavily involved in New England’s offense and surpass 62.5 rushing yards for the fifth straight week.
Herbert has been a person of interest to Chicago. He got to shine a bit while Montgomery was out and remains a solid RB2 with the potential for big carries, as he showed last week by racking up 74 rushing yards on just seven attempts. As such, 32.5 is an achievable number for him.
Lastly, Fields has gotten more comfortable throwing the ball lately, exceeding 170 passing yards in three straight games. Oddsmakers love to underestimate Fields, but that doesn’t mean you shouldn’t. Look for him to have another solid passing game and hit the over on his yardage prop, especially if the Bears are playing from behind.
