How To Bet On UFC Fights: MMA Point Spreads Explained

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In sports betting, it’s impossible not to talk about spreads.

One of the most popular forms of sports betting, the spread is a handicap that helps level the playing field for bettors.

Instead of betting a favorite on the moneyline with short odds or an underdog with long odds, you can bet on the spread, which is based on the winning/losing margin.

If the spread is 7.5 points in a football or basketball game, the winning team must win by at least eight points to cover. If the losing team loses by fewer than 7.5 points or wins outright, they cover.

And then there’s UFC. While the sport doesn’t have a tangible “scoreboard,” bettors can still wager on point spreads, even if it’s a little different than other American sports.

Where to Bet UFC

There are many sportsbook options for betting on the UFC.

Here are our recommended books for wagering on the next UFC fight, including UFC 310.

DraftKings UFC

CategoryDescription
OfferBet $5+, get $150 in bonus bets if first bet wins
Promo CodeN/A
RequirementsNew users only, 21+ and in eligible state
Eligible Bet TypesAll bet types
AvailabilityAZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, ME, MI, NC, NJ, NY, NH, OH, OR, PA, TN, VA, VT, WY, WV
Offer ExpiresJan. 5, 2025 at 11:59 p.m. ET
Apple Store Score4.8/5
Google Play Store Score4.5/5
Date VerifiedNov. 26, 2024
Claim Bonus

FanDuel UFC

CategoryDescription
OfferBet $5+, get $150 in Bonus Bets + 3 Free Months of NBA League Pass
Promo CodeN/A
RequirementsNew users only, 21+ and in eligible state
Eligible Bet TypesAll bet types
AvailabilityAZ, CO, CT, DC, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, MA, NJ, NY, NC, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY
Offer ExpiresDec. 17 at 11:59 p.m. ET
Apple Store Score4.9/5
Google Play Store Score4.7/5
Date VerifiedNov. 26, 2024
Claim Bonus

BetMGM UFC

CategoryDescription
OfferGet up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first wager loses
Promo CodeFORBES
RequirementsNew users only, 21+ and in eligible state
Eligible Bet TypesAll bet types
AvailabilityAZ, CO, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MA, MI, MS, NV, NJ, NY, NC, OH, PA, PR, TN, VA, WV, WY
Offer ExpiresFeb. 10, 2025
Apple Store Score4.8/5
Google Play Store Score4.3/5
Date VerifiedNov. 26, 2024
Claim Bonus

Caesars UFC

CategoryDescription
OfferBet $1, get 10 $100% profit boosts
Promo CodeFORBES1000
RequirementsNew users only, 21+ and in eligible state
Eligible Bet TypesAll bet types
AvailabilityAZ, CO, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MS, NV, NJ, NY, NC, OH, PA, PR, TN, VA, WV, WY
Offer Expires11:59 a.m. local time on Jan. 27, 2025
Apple Store Score4.7/5
Google Play Store Score4.3/5
Date VerifiedNov. 25, 2024
Claim Bonus

Fanatics UFC

CategoryDescription
OfferGet daily $100 no-sweat bet for 10 straight days
Promo CodeN/A
RequirementsNew users only, 21+ and in eligible state
Eligible Bet Types$1+, min. -500 odds
AvailabilityAZ, CO, CT, DC, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, MD, MA, MI, NY, NJ, NC, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY
Offer ExpiresDec. 31, 2024 at 11:59 p.m. ET
Apple Store Score4.8/5
Google Play Store Score4.4/5
Date VerifiedNov. 26, 2024
Claim Bonus

BetRivers UFC

CategoryDescription
OfferGet $100-$500 in bonus bets if your first wager loses (depending on state)
Promo CodeSPORTS
RequirementsNew users only, 21+ and in eligible state
Eligible Bet TypesMin. -200 odds
AvailabilityAZ, CO, DE, IA, IL, IN, LA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, VA, WV
Offer ExpiresTBD
Apple Store Score4.8/5
Google Play Store Score4.7/5
Date VerifiedNov. 26, 2024
Claim Bonus

Bet365 UFC

CategoryDescription
OfferBet $5, get $150 in bonus bets OR get up to $1,000 in bonus bets if your first bet loses
Promo CodeFORBES (U.S.), FORBESCAN (Canada ex. Ontario)
RequirementsNew users only, 21+ and in eligible state
Eligible Bet TypesMin. -500 odds
AvailabilityAZ, CO, IA, IN, KY, LA, NJ, NC, OH, PA, VA
Offer ExpiresTBD
Apple Store Score4.8/5
Google Play Store Score4.6/5
Date VerifiedNov. 26, 2024
Claim Bonus

ESPN BET UFC

CategoryDescription
OfferGet up to $1,500 first bet reset & 30 free days of ESPN+
Promo CodeN/A
RequirementsNew users only, 21+ and in eligible state
Eligible Bet TypesAll bet types
AvailabilityAZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MA, MI, NJ, NY, NC, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV
Apple Store Score4.8/5
Google Play Store Score4.5/5
Offer ExpiresFeb. 10, 2025
Last VerifiedNov. 26, 2024

Hard Rock Bet UFC

CategoryDescription
OfferGet $100 in bonus bets if your first wager loses
Promo CodeN/A
RequirementsNew users only, 21+ and in eligible state
Eligible Bet TypesAll bet types
AvailabilityAZ, FL, IL, IN, NJ, OH, TN, VA
Offer ExpiresDec. 31, 2024 at 11:59 p.m. ET
Apple Store Score4.9/5
Google Play Store Score4.8/5
Bet Now21+ Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Last VerifiedNov. 26, 2024

What Are Point Spreads in UFC?

To understand how point spreads work in UFC, you first need to know how the UFC works.

In a standard UFC match, there are two fighters in the same weight class who face off in an octagon, with one fighter coming out on top.

The ways a fighter can win:

  • Knockout: when a fighter causes another to lose consciousness
  • Technical Knockout (TKO): when a referee or doctor ends the fight due to a fighter being unable to continue
  • Decision: when a fight goes the distance and the three judges decide the winner. The fighter with the most points (determined by the judges) wins
  • Submission: when one fighter places their opponent in a hold and the opponent “taps out” or loses consciousness
  • DQ/Forfeit: when a fighter ends the contest early due to injury or another reason

While all of these outcomes are relevant for a spread bet, a decision is the most important.

If a fight goes to a decision, the judges determine the winner using their scorecards. Based on these points, the sportsbook determines the winner on the spread.

Each judge will pick a “winner” of the round (which gives that fighter 10 points), along with determining whether the “loser” of the round will get 7, 8 or 9 points.

At the end of the fight, each judge adds up their scoreboard to get a total score, for example 30-27 in a three-round fight and 50-45 in a five-rounder.

How Do You Bet Point Spreads in UFC?

Let’s use UFC 298 as an example. That card had Alexander Volkanovski versus Ilia Topuria as the headline fight. Volkanovski was a 5.5-point spread favorite at DraftKings Sportsbook at +120 odds, while Topuria was a 5.5-point underdog at -165.

That means that if the fight went to a decision, Volkanovski would’ve needed to win by six or more points on the decision to cover the spread. Topuria would’ve needed to lose by five or fewer points or win the match outright to cover the spread.

So if you bet Volkanovski and he won 143 to 142 via split decision, your bet wouldn’t hit because he didn’t win by the required amount of total points. But if he won 146-139, his spread bet would hit because he won by more than 5.5.

The scorecards of the three judges are added together to determine the total points.

Another thing to consider when betting UFC spreads is the number of rounds in each fight.

Most fights consist of three five-minute rounds, while championship fights and main events consist of five five-minute rounds. So if you’re beating the spread in an undercard fight, a fighter you bet on will only have three rounds to try to grow their lead on the scorecard, while a fighter in a main event would have five rounds.

Advantages of Point Spreads in UFC

The biggest reason you should bet the spread in UFC is if you feel there’s more value on the spread than on the moneyline.

The spread increases the payout on the favorite compared to the moneyline, which has shorter odds. It also makes the underdog more likely to hit since they don’t need to win the match to cover the spread.

That said, the underdog payout won’t be as big as the moneyline. We think the best time to bet on the spread is when you think an underdog can take the fight to a decision.

Additionally, keep an eye out for fights that have fighters with:

  • Good cardio/stamina
  • Subpar finishing skills
  • Something on the line. If a fighter is defending his belt, then he might be more willing to go the distance instead of going for the knockout blow

Betting on the spread also comes with some risks.

There’s still a chance that your fighter gets knocked out or loses in a way other than a decision. Once it gets to a decision, there’s also a chance your fighter doesn’t cover due to the judges’ ruling.

Our advice: pick a smaller fight at a UFC event and bet the spread with 0.25 betting units. Watch the fight like you normally would, but see how betting the spread makes you feel or changes your viewing experience.

If it’s something you enjoy, consider bumping your bet up to 0.5 units for a fight higher up on the card

Sportsbooks With UFC Point Spreads

DraftKings Sportsbook is the only one of our recommended sportsbooks that offers spread betting on the UFC.

While other sportsbooks offer moneyline markets for UFC, DraftKings offers spread betting and wagers on the number of rounds.

When looking at spread betting for UFC, compare the spread payout to the moneyline payout.

DraftKings’ interface shows a fight’s spread, moneyline and total next to each other, allowing bettors to study all three simultaneously.

When betting the spread in the UFC (or any sport), research other odds for the fight to get an idea of what outcomes sportsbooks are expecting. That can help provide a framework for how the match might play out.

For example, if a fight is expected to last more rounds, the underdog may have a better chance of prevailing.

Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

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