Patrick Mahomes Stats: QB’s Rushing & Passing Prop Bets For Super Bowl 58

The son of a former MLB pitcher, Mahomes played college football and baseball while at Texas Tech. Following his sophomore year, he decided to quit baseball and focus on becoming an NFL quarterback.

The Chiefs selected Mahomes with the 10th overall pick in the 2017 NFL Draft. He played sparingly as a rookie, making just one start as Alex Smith’s backup.

In 2018, he became the starter for Kansas City after Smith was traded to Washington. That season, Mahomes threw for 5,097 yards and 50 touchdowns en route to winning MVP.

He became the first quarterback to throw for at least 5,000 yards in a season in college and the NFL. He also joined QB Peyton Manning as the only players to throw for 50 touchdowns and 5,000 yards in the same season.

In 2020, Mahomes signed a 10-year contract worth $477 million, the largest in NFL history.

Prior to the 2023 season, he agreed to a restructured contract that will pay him $210.6 million guaranteed from the 2023 to 2026 seasons. Since becoming Kansas City’s starting quarterback, Mahomes has led the team to six consecutive AFC Championship games.

The 2023 season marked the first time Mahomes played on the road in his postseason career, as the Chiefs defeated the Bills on the road in the Divisional Round and the Ravens on the road in the AFC Championship.

Mahomes has been a dominant force in the NFL since he joined the league. That said, he had a career-low in passing touchdowns in 2023 (for a full season) and a career-high in interceptions, largely due to the Chiefs’ dearth of quality skill players.

Below are his numbers for his seven seasons as a professional football player, six as a starter.

Passing

• 2017: 22-35, 284 YDS, 0 TD, 1 INT
• 2018: 383-580, 5,097 YDS, 50 TD, 12 INT
• 2019: 319-484, 4,031 YDS, 26 TD, 5 INT
• 2020: 390-588, 4,740 YDS, 38 TD, 6 INT
• 2021: 436-658, 4,839 YDS, 37 TD, 13 INT
• 2022: 435-648, 5,250 YDS, 41 TD, 12 INT
• 2023: 401-597, 4,183 YDS, 27 TD, 14 INT

Totals: 2,386-3,590, 28,424 YDS, 219 TD, 63 INT

Rushing

• 2017: 7 ATT, 10 YDS, 0 TD, 0 FUM
• 2018: 60 ATT, 272 YDS, 2 TD, 9 FUM
• 2019: 43 ATT, 218 YDS, 2 TD, 3 FUM
• 2020: 62 ATT, 308 YDS, 2 TD, 5 FUM
• 2021: 66 ATT, 381 YDS, 2 TD, 9 FUM
• 2022: 61 ATT, 358 YDS, 4 TD, 5 FUM
• 2023: 75 ATT, 389 YDS, 0 TD, 5 FUM

Totals: 374 ATT, 1,936 YDS, 12 TD, 36 FUM

Mahomes has been in the playoffs every year since becoming the starter for the Chiefs, reaching at least the AFC Championship Game each time.

Passing

• 2018: 43-72, 573 YDS, 3 TD, 0 INT
• 2019: 72-112, 901 YDS, 10 TD, 2 INT
• 2020: 76-117, 850 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
• 2021: 89-122, 1,057 YDS, 11 TD, 3 INT
• 2022: 72-100, 703 YDS, 7 TD, 0 INT
• 2023: 104-149, 1,051 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT

Totals: 456-672, 5,135 YDS, 41 TD, 8 INT

Rushing

• 2018: 5 ATT, 19 YDS, 1 TD, 2 FUM
• 2019: 24 ATT, 135 YDS, 2 TD, 4 FUM
• 2020: 13 ATT, 52 YDS, 1 TD, 1 FUM
• 2021: 13 ATT, 117 YDS, 1 TD, 1 FUM
• 2022: 12 ATT, 60 YDS, 0 TD, 1 FUM
• 2023: 23 ATT, 141 YDS, 0 TD, 0 FUM

Totals: 90 ATT, 522 YDS, 5 TD, 9 FUM

Mahomes has been a tour de force since he stepped in as Andy Reid’s starting quarterback. In 96 regular-season games, Mahomes is an impressive 74-22. That’s a .770 winning percentage, among the best quarterback winning percentages in NFL history.

Mahomes still has a long way to go to catch Tom Brady’s record of 251 career regular-season wins (and seven Super Bowls), but it’s possible if he stays healthy and on his current trajectory.

Now that you know more about the Kansas City QB, you might be interested in wagering on his performance in the Super Bowl. Sports bettors can find a variety of player prop bets for Mahomes in Super Bowl 58.

Here is a list of the most notable lines:

• Mahomes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+425)
• Mahomes First Touchdown Scorer (+2200)
• Mahomes Over/Under 260.5 Passing Yards (-115/-115)
• Mahomes Over/Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-135/+105)
• Mahomes Longest Completion Over/Under 36.5 Yards (-110/-120)
• Mahomes to Throw an Interception (-130 Yes, +100 No)
• Mahomes Over/Under 25.5 Pass Completions (-110/-120)
• Mahomes Over/Under 25.5 Rushing Yards (-115/-115)
• Mahomes Longest Rush Over/Under 12.5 Yards (-105/-125)
• Mahomes to Win MVP (+125)

Note: Odds and lines are from DraftKings and subject to change.

As you can see, there are plenty of props regarding Mahomes. While there’s no denying that the Chiefs’ skill players aren’t at the level they’ve been at years prior, Mahomes has hit another level this postseason, as he’s thrown a touchdown pass in all three of the Chiefs’ playoff games this year.

That trend has us eyeing his Over of 1.5 passing touchdowns, as he’s thrown at least two touchdown passes in two of the three Super Bowls he’s appeared in thus far in his career. That, coupled with the fact the 49ers have surrendered 52 points in two postseason games, leads us to believe that Mahomes should be able to make some magic through the air.

We also like Mahomes to not throw an interception (+100) for many of those same reasons.

His last postseason interception came more than two years ago (Von Bell of the Bengals holds that honor), while the 49ers didn’t pick a pass off against the Lions in the NFC Championship.

Mahomes will need to be even more surgical this year due to the Chiefs’ lack of playmakers, so we expect a game plan that features a more deliberate passing game.

The third Mahomes-related prop that caught our eye was Over 25.5 yards rushing.

Last year, Mahomes’ rushing prop was 20.5 yards (thanks in part to a nagging ankle injury), but he still managed to sail past it with 44 rushing yards.

Mahomes opened the postseason with 41 yards against the Dolphins before failing to clear the 20-year rushing plateau against the Ravens and Bills, but we expect him to be mobile against the 49ers.

If you’re feeling frisky, it might be worth putting 0.5 units on Mahomes’ longest rush to be Over 12.5 yards rushing.

And lastly, if you think the Chiefs will win, it’s worth looking at Mahomes to win MVP (+125). While we think Travis Kelce also has a good chance, there’s a reason quarterbacks have accounted for 58% of Super Bowl MVPs.