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On Sept. 17, 2013, Rockstar Games released Grand Theft Auto V to the seventh generation of video game consoles. It received critical acclaim.
Patrick Mahomes was a senior in high school and coming off a 384-yard game against Sulphur Springs High School. Peyton Manning had just become the third quarterback in NFL history to clear the 60,000-yard passing mark for his career. “Royals” by Lorde was the top song on the Billboard 100 and Insidious: Chapter 2 was the top movie at the box office.
Now, over 11 years later, Grand Theft Auto VI is on the horizon. After years of rumors, poorly made YouTube fan theory videos and leaks, Rockstar announced the game with a record-breaking trailer that gave it a release window of 2025.
Grand Theft Auto VI Release Date Odds
That vague release date resulted in FanDuel Sportsbook Ontario offering a novelty prop on when the game will be released. This bet isn’t available at American sportsbooks.
The odds are as follows:
- December 2024 or earlier: +4100
- January 2025: +3500
- February 2025: +3100
- March 2025: +2800
- April 2025: +2400
- May 2025: +2800
- June 2025: +1600
- July 2025: +1400
- August 2025: +1200
- September 2025: +280
- October 2025: +280
- November 2025: +280
- December 2025: +1000
- January 2026 or later: +500
Odds subject to change.
As you can see, oddsmakers believe the game will be released around the end of 2025, which squares with the release window that Take-Two (Rockstar’s parent company) announced this year.
That said, the game has been delayed multiple times, the biggest reason that January 2026 or later has the second shortest odds.
How Big Was Grand Theft Auto V?
The game will take place in the state of Leonida (Grand Theft Auto’s version of Florida) and will also include Vice City (the game’s version of Miami and the location of the third game in the series). It will feature two protagonists, one of whom is Lucia, the game’s first female protagonist since Grand Theft Auto II.
Since GTA V was released, the story of Franklin, Michael and Trevor has become one of the biggest and most recognizable pieces of media.
The game generated more than $1 billion in revenue in just three days. It quickly became a cultural phenomenon.
While it was originally released on the Xbox 360 and PlayStation 3, it’s since been released for the PlayStation 4, Xbox One, Microsoft Windows, PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X and S. That’s right, Grand Theft Auto V has been on three different Playstation consoles, while the PlayStation 2 received three different Grand Theft Auto releases (III, Vice City, San Andreas).
Grand Theft Auto V also spawned Grand Theft Auto Online, a multiplayer mode that still ranks among the most-populated online games 11 years after its release.
But all that buzz and attention didn’t immediately result in a new game. In fact, for a long time, GTA fans were stuck with nothing. While Rockstar released Red Dead Redemption II in 2018 (another critically acclaimed open-world game that spawned a massively successful online mode), it was radio silence regarding Grand Theft Auto VI.
What Can Grand Theft Auto V’s Release Tell Us?
In 2020, video game journalism insider Jason Schreider reported that the game was in early development and that Rockstar was planning to take its time developing GTA VI to avoid a developer crunch.
In 2022, he added a report for Bloomberg stating that the game was “at least” two years away.
But then things changed later that month when 50 minutes of developer gameplay was leaked online, which led to the game’s further delay.
For reference, Grand Theft Auto V was officially announced on Oct. 25, 2011, and was initially scheduled to be released in the second quarter of 2013 before being pushed back a few months so the developers could do some final polishing.
So if you’re planning on wagering on this market in Canada, we think it might be worthwhile to hedge your bets and place a wager on the game releasing in January 2026 or later along with placing a wager on one of the fall months (we think it’ll come out in October).
While most video games are released in the fall (in large part so they can be on the market for Christmas), Rockstar has already proven it’ll delay the release so the game can be its best.
This novelty market is a little more volatile than others, like who will be named Time’s Person of the Year or whether or not Taylor Swift will attend the NFL season opener. However, it’s still a fun market if you’re a gamer looking to find another reason to get excited about GTA VI’s release.
