U.S. Open 2024: Tennis Betting Odds, Predictions & Picks

Here’s a look at the U.S. Open odds for the men’s side. All prices are via FanDuel Sportsbook as of Aug. 6.

• Carlos Alcaraz: +130
• Novak Djokovic: +185
• Jannik Sinner: +220
• Daniil Medvedev: +500
• Alexander Zverev: +1800
• Rafael Nadal: +2300
• Holger Rune: +3600
• Taylor Fritz: +3600
• Stefanos Tsitsipas: +3700
• Casper Ruud: +3900
• Ben Shelton: +4400
• Matteo Berrettini: +4700
• Frances Tiafoe: +5000

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Novak Djokovic

If Alcaraz and Djokovic play each other in the U.S. Open, it’ll be their ninth career meeting. Djokovic has won five matches, while Alcaraz has won three.

Of those eight matches, only two have come on hardcourt, with Djokovic winning both. The first match came in the final of last year’s ATP Cincinnati, which was a 5-7, 7-6 (7), 7-6 (4) win for Djokovic. The second came in the Nitto ATP Finals, which was a 6-3, 6-2 victory for Djokovic.

The two have split their last two matches, both of which came on clay. After Alcaraz defeated Djokovic 6-2, 6-2, 7-6 (4) in the Wimbledon final, Djokovic won the Olympic final 7-6 (3), 7-6 (2) to break their head-to-head tie.

The draw for the U.S. Open has yet to be announced, but the two usually end up on opposite ends of the draw, so they’ll likely play in the semifinal at the earliest.

• Iga Świątek: +300
• Aryna Sabalenka: +300
• Coco Gauff: +650
• Elena Rybakina: +850
• Naomi Osaka: +1000
• Jessica Pegula: +1900
• Donna Vekic: +1900
• Mirra Andreeva: +2600
• Danielle Collins: +2900
• Ons Jabeur: +2900
• Qinwen Zheng: +3000
• Jasmine Paolini: +3000

It’s no surprise that Alcaraz and Djokovic are the two betting favorites on the men’s side. Not only are they the past two U.S. Open winners, but they also just won Wimbledon and the Olympics.

Outside of those two, 2021 U.S. Open champion Daniil Medvedev is a solid play at +500, as we think he has the best chance to win if Alcaraz or Djokovic don’t make it to the final. The 28-year-old upset No. 1 seed Jannik Sinner at Wimbledon before losing to Alcaraz in the semifinal, so he should head into the tournament with something to prove.

We’re a bit surprised to see Nadal with the sixth-best odds considering he told reporters at the Olympics that he doesn’t think he’s going to compete in the tournament. While he’s a four-time U.S. Open champion, the 38-year-old has struggled lately and appears to be a shell of his former self.

On the women’s side, it’s no surprise to see Świątek have the best odds considering she’s the No. 1 player in the world. That said, she’s coming off an upset loss to 21-year-old Zheng Qinwen in the Olympic semifinals — a loss that ended Świątek’s 21-match winning streak.

Zheng, who became the first Chinese player to win an Olympic tennis singles gold, defeated Donna Vekic in the final and enters the tournament at +3000 to win her first Grand Slam, making her a playable long shot.

Naomi Osaka is a two-time U.S. Open champion, but she’ll be playing in the tournament for the first time in two years after losing in the first round against Danielle Collins in 2022. She’s one of the most dangerous players in the world but hasn’t won a Grand Slam since 2021 (Australian Open).

It’s no surprise that Djokovic and Nadal frequent this list considering they’re two of the greatest tennis players ever. Of the non-Djokovic and Nadal players on this list, Medvedev has the best shot to add another U.S. Open win to his ledger, as he has the fourth-best odds in this year’s tournament. 

The 39-year-old Wawrinka will also be competing, but he’s a +10000 underdog. Čilić underwent surgery in May that will keep him out of the tournament, while Murray retired after the Olympics.

• 2023: Novak Djokovic
• 2022: Carlos Alcaraz
• 2021: Daniil Medvedev
• 2020: Dominic Thiem
• 2019: Rafael Nadal
• 2018: Novak Djokovic
• 2017: Rafael Nadal
• 2016: Stan Wawrinka
• 2015: Novak Djokovic
• 2014: Marin Čilić
• 2013: Rafael Nadal
• 2012: Andy Murray
• 2011: Novak Djokovic
• 2010: Rafael Nadal

As you can see, this was Serena Williams’ tournament to lose at the start of the decade, as she tallied three straight wins from 2012 to 2014. She retired in 2022, however.

Świątek is the betting favorite to add another U.S. Open win to her ledger, but there’s no telling if her upset loss in the Olympics will impact her mindset heading into the tournament. Osaka is the only repeat winner in this year’s field. 

Gauff will be looking to become the first repeat winner since Williams, but she’s coming off a dreadful showing at the Olympics, where she only reached the third round of the singles tournament and the second round of the doubles. 

• 2023: Coco Gauff
• 2022: Iga Świątek
• 2021: Emma Raducanu
• 2020: Naomi Osaka
• 2019: Bianca Andreescu
• 2018: Naomi Osaka
• 2017: Sloane Stephens
• 2016: Angelique Kerber
• 2015: Flavia Pennetta
• 2014: Serena Williams
• 2013: Serena Williams
• 2012: Serena Williams
• 2011: Samantha Stosur
• 2010: Kim Clijsters

Bettors have a few different options for the U.S. Open, starting with the futures markets mentioned above (which player will win the tournament).

Three primary markets are available for each match — the moneyline, spread and total. For the moneyline, bettors simply select the player they think will win the match. One player will be listed as the favorite while the other will be the underdog.

The spread is based on whether a player will win by a certain number of games. For example, if a player is -1.5 on the spread, they need to win by two or more games to cover.

Some sportsbooks also offer lines on sets instead of games. Depending on the moneyline, bettors could see the set spread at 1.5 or 2.5. The former number will be used in matches expected to be closer (the moneyline favorite may be priced around -200), whereas the latter will be used for more lopsided matches.

A heavy moneyline favorite could enter at -700 or higher. Thus, you’re effectively betting on whether the heavy favorite will win in straight sets. Most of the early-round matches will have heavier favorites before the margins get tighter as the tournament progresses.

Then there’s the total, which is the total number of games played in the match. If a bettor believes there will be more games than the total set by bookmakers, they should bet the Over. If they believe the total games will be fewer, they should bet the Under.

There will also many prop bets available for each match, where bettors can wager on everything from the correct score to who will win a specific set. These bets are intended for more advanced bettors, as they require more research and knowledge about the match.

One of the most popular bet types when it comes to tennis is the live bet. Given the length and frequent pauses in tennis matches, bettors have many opportunities to place live bets once a match is in progress.

Any kind of fixed wager can also be placed as a live bet, meaning that you’ll be able to bet spreads, moneylines and totals as in-game bets. The odds will change once the match starts, but they may be suspended for short periods as oddsmakers recalculate prices.

This can be a good way to ride a player who gets off to a fast start or get more favorable odds on a favorite who starts slowly. Odds will change constantly throughout a match depending on the score, so timing your bets right is essential.

There are also some bets that are only available as live bets, like betting on the outcome of the next set or game. The number of options available depends on the match and sportsbook.

You can also make live prop bets, though the options are usually more limited compared to pre-game markets. As an example, you might be able to bet on the number of aces in a match pre-game but not once the match starts.

If you’re planning to bet on the U.S. Open, it’s worth saving some of your bankroll for live betting, especially if you plan on watching the matches live.